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Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments covering more than 160 countries and 13 sectors.

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Economic publications

  • #Economic publications

    From monetary pivot to fiscal turnaround? - Coface barometer

    The global economic recovery is mixed: while the US is heading for a soft landing, the eurozone and China continue to face uncertainties. In this context, Coface has adjusted its ratings for 5 countries and 17 sectors, reflecting a scenario of stabilized global growth in 2025, albeit below potential. Download our October 2024 Barometer now.

  • #Economic publications

    Electric vehicles: is Europe still in the driver seat? Competition between China and Europe in an age of mobility transition

    The EU voted to ban new internal combustion engine car sales by 2035, aiming for carbon neutrality by 2050. This EV transition disrupts Europe's auto industry, which lags behind China. The EU imposed tariffs on Chinese vehicles in response. The challenge now for the EU is to maintain a leading automotive manufacturing industry while achieving the carbon neutrality targets it has set itself.

  • Risk Dashboard

    Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments covering more than 160 countries and 13 sectors

  • #Economic publications

    A less global village? World trade in the age of geopolitical fragmentation

    World trade is in transition, with the end of the 'global village' era and stagnation in its share of global GDP. Geopolitical upheavals, from Ukraine to the Middle East, are driving fragmentation, while 'friend-shoring' redirects trade based on alliances. Connector countries are rising, and new trade routes are emerging, but major powers like the U.S. and China remain deeply interdependent. Globalization is reorganizing to adapt to rising protectionism.

  • #Economic publications

    Will the Turkish economy benefit from the authorities’ U-turn towards greater orthodoxy?

    The general elections of May 2023 marked a shift in Turkish economic policy with the implementation of more orthodox policies to end a period characterized by negative real interest rates and a sharp depreciation of the lira. The local elections in March 2024 marked a further step in this strategy with a tightening of financial conditions to stabilize the economy, reduce runaway inflation and strengthen the country's macroeconomic foundations.

  • #Economic publications

    Country and Sector Risks Barometer: Turbulence ahead?

    In Q1 2024, the global economy improves slightly from previous years marked by pandemic, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and US banking crisis. However, US activity slows down, with emerging countries driving growth. Global economic, social, and political risks persist, including the dissolution of the French National Assembly. Consequently, Coface adjusts assessments for 5 countries and 26 sectors, indicating short-term positive outlook only.

  • Risk Dashboard

    Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments covering more than 160 countries and 13 sectors

  • Trade Talk podcast

    Dive into the world of global trade with Coface's Trade Talk podcast. Listen to conversations with trade experts as they examine current market dynamics and growth strategies. 

    Tune in to Trade Talk now